Union Comercio 0-1 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.92/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.48
+3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.5 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-2 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
11.08.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
12.03.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
10.11.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-2 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
28.05.2019 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-1 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
24.10.2018 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-2 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
0-1
AWAY Sport Huancayo
0.89 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
341 Passes 216
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo edged past Union Comercio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Comercio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Comercio had 58% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 42%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 0.89 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Comercio and 1.67 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Sport Huancayo?

Union Comercio 0-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 44%, draw 27%, Sport Huancayo 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Comercio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Comercio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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