Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
12%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
5.25
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +24%
1.43/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.27
+9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.4 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.61 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
281 Passes 345
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
14.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
18.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
11.12.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
15.08.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
08.03.2020 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.07 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Rubin Kazan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Krylya Sovetov at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 49% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 51%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.07 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 0.50 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Rubin Kazan?

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 42%, draw 27%, Rubin Kazan 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5
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