Fakel 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
5.4
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.26
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
8%
7.25
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
17%
3.87
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.93
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.03/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.65
-21% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
22.1 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
2W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 Passes 255
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
04.11.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
16.04.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
24.07.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.21 xG 0.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
137 Passes 352
56% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fakel vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and FC Akhmat Grozny fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 34% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.21 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fakel had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Fakel and 1.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Fakel vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Fakel 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fakel 26%, draw 30%, FC Akhmat Grozny 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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