Krasnodar 1-0 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.3
2-3 Goals
39%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.01
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.3 — our 25% vs market 14.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.65
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.65
X/1
21%
4.05
X/2
6%
15.1
X/X
11%
7.58
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
8%
11.85
2/X
8%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.03/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.39
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +53%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.9 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.60 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
408 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Akron Akron 2-5 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
03.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-0
AWAY Akron
1.50 xG 0.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
404 Passes 185
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past Akron 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 63% of the ball to Akron's 37%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.50 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Krasnodar's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for Akron.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Akron?

Krasnodar 1-0 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 57%, draw 24%, Akron 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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