Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

Çaykur Rizespor
1-1 HT 0-0
Sivasspor
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Çaykur Rizespor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
15%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.83
X/2
11%
7.64
X/X
11%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.9
2/2
9%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çaykur Rizespor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.75/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.37
+1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.1 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Çaykur Rizespor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sivasspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
397 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
11.02.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
23.09.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
16.05.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.12.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.02.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL

Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-1
AWAY Sivasspor
1.72 xG 0.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
309 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor and Sivasspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Çaykur Rizespor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 48% of the ball to Sivasspor's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.17 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Sivasspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 49%, draw 25%, Sivasspor 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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