Antalyaspor 2-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.93
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.6
X/2
10%
5.67
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
4.01
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.50/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.09
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.7 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.62 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
358 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
12.02.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
23.09.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
05.06.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TP1L
08.03.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
18.10.2014 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Samsunspor
2.15 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
349 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Samsunspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Antalyaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 52% of the ball to Samsunspor's 48%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.15 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.33 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 36%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ BTTS Yes
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