Real Union 3-0 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
2.48/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.00
+29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Naxara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Naxara Naxara 1-3 HT 1-1 Real Union Real Union İS4
28.09.2022 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Naxara Naxara İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
3-0
AWAY Naxara
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union swept aside Naxara 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Union as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Real Union had 54% of the ball to Naxara's 46%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Union had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Union and 0.50 for Naxara.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Naxara?

Real Union 3-0 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Real Union 67%, draw 20%, Naxara 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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