Sestao River vs Beasain Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sestao River v Beasain — Team-Based Signals
Sestao River vs Beasain Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Beasain
İS4
0-0
HT 0-0
Sestao River
İS4
Sestao River 1-1 Beasain — Actual Match Statistics
Sestao River and Beasain couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sestao River at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sestao River had 50% of the ball to Beasain's 50%, shots finished 9-5.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sestao River had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sestao River and 0.33 for Beasain.
What was the final score of Sestao River vs Beasain?
Sestao River 1-1 Beasain in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Beasain?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 59%, draw 25%, Beasain 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sestao River) went the other way.