Xerez 0-1 Puente Genil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Puente Genil EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.02/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.02
-37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Puente Genil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.09.2025 Puente Genil Puente Genil 2-1 HT 1-1 Xerez Xerez İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
0-1
AWAY Puente Genil
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Puente Genil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puente Genil edged past Xerez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Xerez had 69% of the ball to Puente Genil's 31%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Puente Genil?

Xerez 0-1 Puente Genil in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Puente Genil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Xerez 54%, draw 25%, Puente Genil 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xerez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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