Puente Genil 2-1 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puente Genil EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +86%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
180 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
POST-MATCH Puente Genil vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puente Genil nicked a narrow win over Xerez 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Puente Genil vs Xerez?

Puente Genil 2-1 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puente Genil vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Puente Genil 30%, draw 26%, Xerez 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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