Saarbrücken 1-0 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.17
Over Pick
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.52
No
39%
2.34
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.45
2-3
42%
1.87
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
11%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.56
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
16%
4.89
X/2
9%
7.7
X/X
13%
5.58
2/1
3%
21.1
2/2
14%
5.16
2/X
5%
13.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Saarbrücken The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt The Market 31%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.21 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
1.23 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
322 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.02.2025 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
24.08.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 2-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
27.01.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-2 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
26.08.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.02.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-4 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1 - 0
AWAY Ingolstadt
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
343 Passes 479
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Saarbrücken edged past Ingolstadt 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Ingolstadt saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 19-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Saarbrücken against 2.33 for Ingolstadt.

Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt Result & Final Score

Saarbrücken 1 - 0 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 51%, draw 24%, Ingolstadt 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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