Quilmes 2-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu The Market 24%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.51/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.41
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
21.06.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
17.02.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
13.10.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 3-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
16.04.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
REVIEW Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Quilmes squeezed past Deportivo Maipu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Quilmes against 1.33 for Deportivo Maipu.

Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu Result & Final Score

Quilmes 2-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 49%, draw 30%, Deportivo Maipu 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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