Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Slavia Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Slavia Sofia
BUL1
1-5
HT 1-2
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Slavia Sofia beat Cherno More Varna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 54% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 46%, shots finished 17-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.50 for Slavia Sofia.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Cherno More Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 50%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Under 2.5 went the other way.