ES Setif 1-1 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.4
No
47%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
5.09
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
38%
+15.4pp
47%
BTTS No
62%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.24/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.28
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
1W-1D-1L
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
07.06.2024 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
13.01.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 1-1 HT 0-1 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Setif
1-1
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif and ES Ben Aknoun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was ES Setif at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ES Setif had 58% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 42%, shots finished 12-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Setif and 0.67 for ES Ben Aknoun.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun?

ES Setif 1-1 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 53%, draw 29%, ES Ben Aknoun 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ES Setif) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
5 Apr 2026
18:00 USM Khenchela vs Paradou Analysis →
19:45 ASO Chlef vs USM Alger Analysis →
19:45 Belouizdad vs Mostaganem Analysis →
20:00 El Bayadh vs JS Kabylie Analysis →
22:00 JS Saoura vs MC Alger Analysis →