USM Khenchela 1-0 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.29/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.74
-15% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Paradou
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Paradou Paradou 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
18.04.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-2 HT 2-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
08.11.2024 Paradou Paradou 4-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
14.06.2024 Paradou Paradou 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
26.01.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 1-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
01.04.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 3-0 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-0
AWAY Paradou
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela squeezed past Paradou 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 55% of the ball to Paradou's 45%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paradou led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Khenchela and 2.00 for Paradou.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Paradou?

USM Khenchela 1-0 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 56%, draw 26%, Paradou 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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