ASO Chlef 2-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.38
Over 2.5
40%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
6.42
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
69%
-9.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
31%
+9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
0.61/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.87
-40% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASO Chlef
2W-1D-3L
AWAY USM Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
30.04.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-2 HT 0-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
26.10.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.05.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 0-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
05.01.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 1-3 HT 1-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASO Chlef
2-1
AWAY USM Alger
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ASO Chlef vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASO Chlef nicked a narrow win over USM Alger 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; ASO Chlef found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ASO Chlef had 46% of the ball to USM Alger's 54%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ASO Chlef and 1.00 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?

ASO Chlef 2-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASO Chlef vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASO Chlef win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ASO Chlef 40%, draw 30%, USM Alger 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASO Chlef) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ASO Chlef) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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