Incheon United 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.45
6+ Goals
12%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.28
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.86
X/2
14%
6.31
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.91
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
2.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.63
-5% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
29.6 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
341 Passes 387
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
05.07.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
16.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-1
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 412
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United edged past Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Incheon United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Incheon United had 42% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 58%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Incheon United 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 37%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
5 Apr 2026
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