Hegelmann II 0-3 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Be1 NFA win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
1.33/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.82
+31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +19%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
245 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-3 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
13.06.2025 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 1-2 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
04.08.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
07.03.2024 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 1-3 HT 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
0-3
AWAY Be1 NFA
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA swept aside Hegelmann II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 41% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 59%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hegelmann II and 2.00 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA?

Hegelmann II 0-3 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 21%, draw 22%, Be1 NFA 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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