Universitario vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Universitario v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Universitario 1-0 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario squeezed past Alianza Lima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (62%) landed.
On the day, Universitario had 51% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.60 to 0.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario and 0.50 for Alianza Lima.
Universitario vs Alianza Lima Result & Final Score
Universitario 1 - 0 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Universitario vs Alianza Lima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universitario 44%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.