Chonburi 4-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.15/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
-33% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.8 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.30 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Rayong FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
26.07.2025 Rayong FC 4-3 HT 2-0 Chonburi Chonburi HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
4-1
AWAY Rayong FC
1.72 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chonburi ran out comfortable winners over Rayong FC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chonburi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chonburi had 56% of the ball to Rayong FC's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.72 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayong FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chonburi and 2.50 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Rayong FC?

Chonburi 4-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chonburi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 45%, draw 24%, Rayong FC 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chonburi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chonburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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