Lamphun Warrior 2-0 Ayutthaya United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.19/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.53
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
16.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ayutthaya United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
191 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
09.04.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United TAY1
20.11.2021 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 1-1 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2-0
AWAY Ayutthaya United
2.58 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
319 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior got the better of Ayutthaya United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lamphun Warrior found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 59% of the ball to Ayutthaya United's 41%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.58 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 1.00 for Ayutthaya United.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United?

Lamphun Warrior 2-0 Ayutthaya United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 39%, draw 26%, Ayutthaya United 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✗ BTTS Yes
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