Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Muang Thong United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-0
Chiangrai United
TAY
0-1
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United 2-1 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United edged past Chiangrai United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 62% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 38%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.95 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.33 for Chiangrai United.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United?
Muang Thong United 2-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 51%, draw 24%, Chiangrai United 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.