Nacional vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Nacional
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR2
4-0
HT 2-0
Porto II
POR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Porto II
POR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Nacional
POR2
4-1
HT 2-1
Porto II
POR2
Nacional 4-0 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional swept aside Porto II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Nacional had 46% of the ball to Porto II's 54%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nacional and 0.83 for Porto II.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Porto II?
Nacional 4-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Porto II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nacional 51%, draw 24%, Porto II 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.