Vilaverdense 0-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.38/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-27% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torreense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.28 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Torreense Torreense 3-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
0-1
AWAY Torreense
2.23 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
138 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense nicked a narrow win over Vilaverdense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Torreense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 56% of the ball to Torreense's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.23 to 0.90 — on chances, Vilaverdense could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Torreense?

Vilaverdense 0-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 38%, draw 28%, Torreense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vilaverdense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vilaverdense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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