Drogheda United 3-2 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.6
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
9%
8.02
X/X
19%
4.43
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.72
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.07/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+28% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
254 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.9 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cork City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
231 Passes 215
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
25.08.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
30.06.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.06.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
31.03.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.08.2017 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
3-2
AWAY Cork City
2.10 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
128 Passes 147
49% Pass Accuracy 54%
29 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United squeezed past Cork City 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 50% of the ball to Cork City's 50%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.10 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 1.00 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Cork City?

Drogheda United 3-2 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 43%, draw 31%, Cork City 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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