Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-0 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City edged past St Patricks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Derry City had 44% of the ball to St Patricks's 56%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for St Patricks.
What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patricks?
Derry City 1-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs St Patricks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Derry City 43%, draw 28%, St Patricks 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.