Madura United vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Bali United — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Bali United
ENDL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Bali United
ENDL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
Madura United 2-0 Bali United — Actual Match Statistics
Madura United got the better of Bali United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Madura United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Madura United had 42% of the ball to Bali United's 58%, shots finished 12-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madura United and 1.17 for Bali United.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Bali United?
Madura United 2-0 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Bali United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Madura United 35%, draw 27%, Bali United 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.