Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.65
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
6%
16.25
X/X
12%
5.95
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
5%
15.2
2/X
4%
23.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.0pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.57
-21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses 11.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gwangju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 386
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
06.12.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
26.07.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
11.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
23.02.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
24.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
4-0
AWAY Gwangju
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
584 Passes 256
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors cruised past Gwangju 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jeonbuk Motors as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 67% of the ball to Gwangju's 33%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.83 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju?

Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 65%, draw 20%, Gwangju 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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