Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.92
1/2
7%
24.8
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.86
X/2
17%
4.88
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
2.91
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.57
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.78 xG 2.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
05.10.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
24.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
27.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.10.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
462 Passes 185
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 68% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 32%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.83 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 33%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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