Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.09
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.27
X/2
10%
6.72
X/X
12%
5.19
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
18%
4.5
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.56/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.24
+16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.3 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
430 Passes 365
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.10.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
12.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
09.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3-2
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
2.38 xG 1.78
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
537 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai nicked a narrow win over Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 64% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 36%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.38 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.33 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 39%, draw 25%, Gimcheon Sangmu 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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