Gimcheon Sangmu 3-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.19
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
5.66
X/2
12%
6.45
X/X
9%
5.73
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
8%
3.9
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 5.66 — our 24% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.27/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.60
+22% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 15.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 2.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 427
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
27.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.10.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
12.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
09.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
486 Passes 323
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu cruised past Ulsan Hyundai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 59% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 41%, shots finished 22-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.67 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gimcheon Sangmu 3-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 47%, draw 22%, Ulsan Hyundai 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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