Suwon City 1-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
8%
7.11
X/2
10%
5.22
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
28%
2.9
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.81/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.40
+49% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
08.03.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
26.10.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
29.09.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
22.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
30.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-1
AWAY FC Seoul
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City and FC Seoul shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Suwon City had 46% of the ball to FC Seoul's 54%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Suwon City and 1.33 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs FC Seoul?

Suwon City 1-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 32%, draw 23%, FC Seoul 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Seoul), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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