Pohang Steelers 1-3 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.55
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
17%
5.57
X/2
12%
6.03
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.81
-32% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
476 Passes 368
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 1-2 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
15.02.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-3 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
21.07.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-2 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
15.06.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
07.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-3 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-3
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
479 Passes 330
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen got the better of Pohang Steelers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 58% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 42%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.67 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen?

Pohang Steelers 1-3 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 45%, draw 24%, Daejeon Citizen 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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