Duhok 2-1 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +18%
1.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Duhok
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.11.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-2 HT 0-1 Duhok Duhok IRAK
28.05.2025 Duhok Duhok 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
20.02.2024 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-3 Duhok Duhok IRAK
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok nicked a narrow win over Naft Maysan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Duhok as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Duhok had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Duhok and 0.67 for Naft Maysan.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Naft Maysan?

Duhok 2-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Duhok 41%, draw 33%, Naft Maysan 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Duhok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
5 May 2026
17:30 Newroz vs Al Shorta Analysis →
20:00 Al Talaba vs Al Zawraa Analysis →
20:00 Naft vs Al Karma Analysis →