Naft 0-0 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.2pp
37%
Draw
31%
+6.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-2.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.78/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.07
-22% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Karma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.09.2025 Al Karma 2-1 Naft Naft IRAK
02.04.2025 Naft Naft 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft and Al Karma played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 37% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Karma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naft and 1.00 for Al Karma.

What was the final score of Naft vs Al Karma?

Naft 0-0 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naft 24%, draw 37%, Al Karma 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Karma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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