Newroz 0-3 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
24%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
50%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.74/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.79
-27% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shorta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
25.09.2025 Al Shorta Al Shorta 3-2 HT 2-1 Newroz IRAK
03.05.2025 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta swept aside Newroz 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Shorta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newroz and 2.00 for Al Shorta.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Shorta?

Newroz 0-3 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Newroz 19%, draw 26%, Al Shorta 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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