Alianza Petrolera 4-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
241 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
07.11.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
18.04.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 4-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
16.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
18.06.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.05.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 5-3 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera ran out comfortable winners over Aguilas Doradas 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Alianza Petrolera made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.83 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas?

Alianza Petrolera 4-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Cup on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 35%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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