Alianza Petrolera 0-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.99
+15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.3 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
18.04.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 4-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
16.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
18.06.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.05.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 5-3 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
30.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 2-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.08 xG 0.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
268 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Aguilas Doradas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 52% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 48%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 2.00 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas?

Alianza Petrolera 0-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 40%, draw 30%, Aguilas Doradas 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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