Alianza Petrolera 3-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.35/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
+30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.5 Crosses 13.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 4-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
16.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
18.06.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.05.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 5-3 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
30.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 2-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.09.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
3-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.70 xG 0.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 10
159 Passes 223
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera cruised past Aguilas Doradas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Alianza Petrolera made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 45% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 55%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 2.17 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas?

Alianza Petrolera 3-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 38%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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