Deportes Tolima 3-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.36/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.36
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
17.3 Crosses 11.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Envigado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
22.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
13.04.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
30.10.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.06.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
15.05.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
3-0
AWAY Envigado
3.12 xG 0.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
443 Passes 258
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 1
22 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima swept aside Envigado 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 61% of the ball to Envigado's 39%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 3.12 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Envigado?

Deportes Tolima 3-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 52%, draw 27%, Envigado 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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