Independiente Medellin 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.1pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 12%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.44/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.41
-5% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
15.5 Crosses 10.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 HT 2-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.07.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
28.01.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
07.11.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
23.01.2021 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
08.02.2020 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
3-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
2.36 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
308 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin swept aside Patriotas Boyaca 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 53% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 47%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.36 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Independiente Medellin 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 55%, draw 27%, Patriotas Boyaca 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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