Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
0.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.08
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
15.2 Crosses 13.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
20.05.2024 Junior Junior 2-3 HT 1-3 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
26.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
26.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.05.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Junior
0.68 xG 1.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
227 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira squeezed past Junior 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pereira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 40% of the ball to Junior's 60%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.68 to 1.22 — on chances, Junior could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Junior?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 40%, draw 32%, Junior 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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