Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportes Tolima v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 2-1 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past La Equidad 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, La Equidad saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Deportes Tolima against 0.67 for La Equidad.
Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad Result & Final Score
Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 71%, draw 20%, La Equidad 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.