Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-1 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past La Equidad 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 44% of the ball to La Equidad's 56%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad?
Deportes Tolima 2-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 58%, draw 25%, La Equidad 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.