Deportes Tolima 5-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.23/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.31
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
17.3 Crosses 12.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
3W-3D-0L
AWAY La Equidad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 1.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
19.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-3 HT 2-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
11.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
15.03.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.08.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
5-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.28 xG 0.55
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
471 Passes 183
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima swept aside La Equidad 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 68% of the ball to La Equidad's 32%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.28 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad?

Deportes Tolima 5-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 51%, draw 28%, La Equidad 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →