Sligo Rovers 2-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.85
1/2
7%
23.75
1/X
6%
20.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
13.55
X/2
13%
3.85
X/X
10%
5.92
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.8
2/X
10%
17.7
Value flag · X/1 at 13.55 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
47%
Away Win
64%
-17.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 69%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
0.98/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.76
+9% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
245 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.5 Crosses 16.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.74
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
232 Passes 435
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
13.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
28.06.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
12.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
09.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.00 xG 1.57
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
170 Passes 515
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers and Shamrock Rovers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 30% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 70%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.00 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.67 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Sligo Rovers 2-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 27%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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