İA Akranes 0-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.73/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.67
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
22.1 Crosses 11.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
357 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
12.08.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
21.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
08.10.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
25.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-4 HT 0-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
02.05.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
0-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.03 xG 2.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
221 Passes 305
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik edged past İA Akranes 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 44% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 56%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.03 to 2.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fram Reykjavik's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İA Akranes and 1.33 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik?

İA Akranes 0-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 31%, draw 27%, Fram Reykjavik 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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