Vestri 0-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Jul 2025

Vestri
0-2 HT 0-1
Valur
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.9pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -28%
0.88/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.63
-27% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
15.7 Crosses 19.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.33 xG 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
268 Passes 492
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
25.08.2024 Valur Valur 3-1 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZL
22.06.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-5 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
23.02.2023 Valur Valur 3-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
15.09.2021 Vestri Vestri 2-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZK
16.02.2020 Valur Valur 5-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
0-2
AWAY Valur
0.14 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
354 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur saw off Vestri 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vestri had 48% of the ball to Valur's 52%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.14 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vestri and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Valur?

Vestri 0-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vestri 24%, draw 23%, Valur 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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