Dandenong Thunder 3-3 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
2.60/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.17
+11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
213 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 25.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-1 HT 3-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
15.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
01.04.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 HT 1-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
08.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-0 HT 2-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
02.06.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
04.03.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder and Oakleigh Cannons shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dandenong Thunder at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.83 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Dandenong Thunder 3-3 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 43%, draw 22%, Oakleigh Cannons 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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