Slavia Mozyr 4-0 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.85
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.78 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.13
-44% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-2 HT 1-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.03.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-3 HT 2-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.08.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
17.04.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-3 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
14.08.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
11.04.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
4-0
AWAY Vitebsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr swept aside Vitebsk 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 52% of the ball to Vitebsk's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitebsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 1.67 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk?

Slavia Mozyr 4-0 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 45%, draw 23%, Vitebsk 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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