Avustralya (K) 0-1 Panama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
82%
-23.9pp
24%
Draw
12%
+12.7pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.04/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.13
+7% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
477 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 80%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
20.0 Crosses 4.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya (K)
0-1
AWAY Panama (K)
1.39 xG 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
349 Passes 135
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Panama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama (K) nicked a narrow win over Avustralya (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Avustralya (K) at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avustralya (K) had 66% of the ball to Panama (K)'s 34%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Avustralya (K).

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Panama (K)?

Avustralya (K) 0-1 Panama (K) in the Friendlies on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Panama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 58%, draw 24%, Panama (K) 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
5 Jul 2025
00:00 Westerlo vs St. Truidense Analysis →
00:00 Austria Wien vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
00:00 BFC Dynamo vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →
00:00 Odra Opole vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →
12:00 Zilina vs Karvina Analysis →
12:00 Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag Analysis →